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- Example of linear thinking
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Slideshow Transcript
- Slide 1: Towards sustainability Outlook, models and methods Economics Where can I start today? Stephen Hinton, Sustainable Development Consultant
- Slide 2: The end of the oil age has been coming a long time Oil production surpasses Peak Oil discovery production per 1980 Activities capita surpass 1979 biocapacity 1988 Peak of Oil 2005 Discovery Peak of cheap 1968 oil production 2008 Runaway oil price Food price hike Global Economic downturn Peak soil, phosphorous, water, etc 1800s Start of oil age Ecological and Climate System destabilisation? Oil production per capita globally in time
- Slide 3: During that time, gigantic, fuel-dependant supply chains have developed • Complex business and banking models accompany these chains For each kg of product they supply, they release 30 kg of waste Complex business and banking models accompany these chains For each kg of product they supply, they release 30 kg of waste
- Slide 4: The long complicated supply chains of today are sensitive to fuel prices scrap and emission standards use retail whole sale assembly modules & parts compo- nents raw materials extract- tion
- Slide 5: Even the egg is the end result of a long, complex, chemical, industrial Even your breakfast egg supply chain
- Slide 6: Where are we headed now? Catastrophe Where are we headed today?
- Slide 7: New situations call for a new approach: innovation Situation New Old Temporary Quick fix Use known solution Duration Permanent Business Innovate As usual Source: Peter Drucker
- Slide 8: The sustainability model Organizations Healthy in economic Individuals balance Sustainability is a lasting dynamic balance between these factors Thriving Healthy Communitie Environment s
- Slide 9: People don’t want money, they want the services money can buy The service Working hours Operation and maintenance Construction Minerals and biomass
- Slide 10: Compare of strategies for technical and social infrastructure “living arrangements” The matrix ofOPERATION & MAINTENANCE investment choices HI LO BUILD ONCE USE CONSTRUCTION & COMMISSIONING A HUNDRED YEARS HI Use wisely (e.g hydropower) REPLACE (e.g. car based transport system) Make, use, recycle LO INCREASE USE e.g. baskets, bikes INCREASE EFFICIENCY (e.g energy wasting housing)
- Slide 11: The largest energy saving opportunity is in food
- Slide 12: If energy prices continue to rise the best investment is (c) in sustainable technology The price you pay accumulated over time for housing, food and transport. Three scenarios B Accumulated A costs C Time A= accumulated costs if energy prices remain stable B= energy prices increase C= accumulated costs after investment in renewables
- Slide 13: Corporate structure hinders local investment • The majority of companies are small and medium size • The majority of profits are made by large publicly traded corporations • Most capital is in large corporations ( pension schemes, funds, insurance etc) • Eg every eighth £ is spent in Tesco’s
- Slide 14: Financial capital means nothing without cheap and abundant energy • Social capital more important • Owning means of production (eg. Land, water power, low maintenance buildings)
- Slide 15: Why relocalisation is the answer Peak oil, energy price rises Collapse of world economy relocalisation Destabilisation of climate system People’s lack of belief in ”business as usual”
- Slide 16: Two main local production of sustainable Two methods to finance models of essential services investment Arrange conditional loans to small local enterprises Use facilities at production price as long as your money is in the business Join a cooperative Buy land and energy capture facilities Learn to live together (100 friends and a farmer)
- Slide 17: Overview of eco-unit
- Slide 18: Things to consider • Get to understand the situation. You need to understand it for yourself as corporates and governments talk in their own interests • Get out of debt • Review your housing. Is it energy efficient, close to public transport and services? • Get to know local small businesses and with others look to small capital loan possibilities • Subscribe to local organics food box • Ditch the car (carpooling, local minibuses etc ) • Join groups • Learn the skills of the basics • Invest in renewable energy • Find a way to own land • Find your tribe • Work locally in your neighbors’ association, parent teachers, local council etc. • Consider all the above again from the point of view of small business owner or employee

